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Nafta: išlieka teigiama prognozė

Spekuliantai.lt | 2016-09-02 | Rinkos aktualijos | perskaitė: 11791
Raktiniai žodžiai: Nafta, OPEC

Rugpjūčio 19 d. (praėjusį penktadienį) WTI naftos kaina šoktelėjo iki 49,30 USD už barelį ir pasiekė beveik dviejų mėnesių aukščiausią lygį.

Dėl netikėtai išaugusių JAV žalios naftos atsargų pirmadienį prasidėjo WTI korekcija žemyn – kaina nukrito 3% ir trečiadienį pasiekė savaitės žemumą 46,77 USD.

Turint galvoje, kad naftos kaina kilo septynias dienas iš eilės (išaugo 20%), pastaroji korekcija yra sveika ir visiškai nestebina. Korekcija dar gali tęstis, kadangi naftos kainos augimą rugpjūčio pradžioje lėmė daugiausia spekuliacijos ir pelningų trumpų pozicijų uždarymas.

Kiti veiksniai, tempiantys naftos kainą žemyn – tai JAV didėjantis naftos gręžinių skaičius ir Irako planai padidinti naftos išgavimą 5%.
WTI dieninis grafikas

Šaltinis: Bloomberg

Spekuliacinių naftos pirkimo pozicijų lygis yra aukščiausias nuo birželio vidurio. Tai rodo, kad investuotojai tikisi, jog OPEC šalys ir Rusija rugsėjo pabaigoje vyksiančiame susitikime susitars dėl gavybos ribojimo. Kita vertus, tokios OPEC šalys kaip Nigerija ir Libija vargu ar savanoriškai sutiks riboti gavybą.

Be to, per pastarąsias septynias savaites nuolat didėjo eksploatuojamų naftos telkinių skaičius JAV. Jis išaugo nuo 320 iki šiek tiek daugiau nei 400. Šiuo metu naftos gavybos apimtys tebėra panašios kaip ir liepos pradžioje, tad gali prireikti šiek tiek laiko, kol sulauksime kito gavybos padidėjimo.

Jį galėtų lemti auganti paklausa tarp naftos perdirbėjų bei pirkėjų augančiose rinkose, tokiose kaip Indija, kur pagal prognozes vartojimas 2016 antrajame pusmetyje turėtų padidėti 8,3% lyginant su tuo pačiu laikotarpiu pernai.

Apibendrinant - tikėtina, kad rinka susibalansuos, tačiau aukštesniame lygyje nei buvo 2015 m. pabaigoje. Bet koks OPEC susitarimas reikšmingai riboti gavybą turėtų kelti naftos kainą, kurios augimą savo ruožtu turėtų atsverti JAV skalūnų naftos gavybos augimas.

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Paskolų tipai: ką derėtų žinoti?	Trūkstamą pinigų sumą gali finansuoti paskolų bankas	Paskola suteikia galimybę įsirengti svajonių namus	Paslaugos, padedančios efektyviau valdyti verslą
2019-02-06 \| Rinkos aktualijos	2018-09-07 \| Rinkos aktualijos	2018-06-06 \| Rinkos aktualijos	2018-01-09 \| Rinkos aktualijos

Komentarai

Lily652

35 komentarai

2016 12 02 20:56 #36221

Good tips! Thanks. I was looking for such information. prayer time

annlike

18 komentarai

2017 06 14 11:05 #36778

Dès l'horloge prévaut à l'époque, comme un outil important de modifier l'horloge, le régulateur du système d'oscillation est déjà apparu. Bien que le développement de quatre à cinq siècles, les montres mécaniques et les horloges sont toujours des erreurs, l'existence de ces erreurs, une grande partie de la raison réside dans le système d'oscillation de la montre mécanique, jusqu'à présent ne peut pas atteindre zéro erreur, et avec le fonctionnement à long terme,
replique montre l'erreur est de plus en plus grand. par conséquent, à la fois l'horloge, montre de poche, ou plus sophistiqué montre mécanique moderne, montre la structure fine mise au point n'a pas disparu dans la pendule à l'intérieur, le système d'oscillation est le pendule le plus important, si vous regardez attentivement, il est difficile de trouver la plus faible il y aura une petite vis, à travers cette vis, vous pouvez modifier la longueur effective du pendule, pour obtenir le réglage de la vitesse de la marche. Lorsque le Gossamer du 17ème siècle a été inventé, la montre de poche avec Gossamer aussi besoin d'être peaufiné co rrect l'écart de l'oscillateur après utilisation à long terme. La différence est que le système de balancier spiral nécessaire pour redessiner la fileuse. Depuis lors, trois siècles, Replique Omega Montres surtout après le 19ème siècle, la fileuse est non seulement une partie du compteur de temps mécanique la science, mais combine aussi quelques caractéristiques esthétiques, deviennent à la fois pratique et belle structure mécanique

halloween

41 komentarai

2017 10 20 19:52 #37217

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ravirajusai

80 komentarai

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GRAND786

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51 komentarai

2018 04 24 08:56 #38495

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Your Hawks will certainly visit the City Lifestyle Stadium inside 6th 1 week along with engage in your Gambling in a very basketball go with in Thurs night nighttime. This coming year is definitely the new throughout franchise's record that this Philadelphia Eagles crew will certainly engage in a pair of Thurs night online games inside very same time. Your Hawks are going to be in Wembley Stadium in On the, April 31, for you to participate in resistant to the Jacksonville Jaguars throughout Manchester, The united kingdom. Chance Warmack Jerseys This can be a new throughout franchise's record that this Hawks get played out inside standard time international. Your Hawks played out outside the house the us a number of periods inside preseason: South america Area as opposed to. Brand-new Orleans (1978); Manchester using Cleveland along with Zoysia grass (1989 along with 1991); along with Tokyo, Okazaki, japan versus Brand-new Orleans (1993) Chase Daniel Jerseys.

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